文章摘要
刘 炯ꎬ吴海琴.民间金融与农民收入的动态关系———以安徽宣城为例[J].西昌学院学报(自然科学版),2021,35(1):22-26.
民间金融与农民收入的动态关系———以安徽宣城为例
The Dynamic Relations between Private Finance and Farmers′ Income: A Case Study of Xuanchengꎬ Anhui Province
  
DOI:
中文关键词: 民间金融ꎻ农民收入ꎻVAR 模型ꎻ脉冲响应函数分析ꎻ方差分解
英文关键词: private financeꎻ farmers′ incomeꎻ vector auto ̄regressive modelꎻ impulse response function analysisꎻ variance decomposition
基金项目:安徽省高校人文社会科学研究项目重点资助项目(SK2019A0958)?安徽省高校质量工程资助项目(2017JXTD080)?
作者单位
刘 炯ꎬ吴海琴 宣城职业技术学院旅游商贸系ꎬ安徽 宣城 242000 
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中文摘要:
      基于VAR模型计量分析宣城市这一特定区域民间金融与农民收入之间的动态关系,旨在促进农民收入增长进而加快“三农”问题的解决。协整检验表明,民间金融与农民收入保持长期稳定的均衡关系,格兰杰因果检验表明,民间金融与农民收入互为因果关系,冲响应函数分析表明农民收入对民间金融冲击的反应是负向的,民间金融对农民收入冲击的反应是正向的,方差分解表明民间金融对农民收入的影响大于农民收入对其本身的影响,民间金融对其自身的影响亦大于农民收入对民间金融的影响。基于研究结果提出了完善农村正规金融体系,对民间金融分类管理,提高农村经济效率等政策建议
英文摘要:
      :Based on VAR modelꎬ this paper analyzes the dynamic relationship between private finance and farmers′ income in Xuancheng City in order to promote the growth of farmers′ income and speed up the solution of issues in relation to agri ̄ cultureꎬ rural and farmer. Cointegration test shows that private finance and farmers′ income maintain a long-term stable and balanced relationshipꎻ Granger causality test shows that private finance and farmers′ income are cause and effect to each otherꎻ Impulse response function analysis shows that the response of farmers′ income to the impact of private finance is negativeꎬ and the response of private finance to the impact of farmers′ income is positiveꎻ variance decomposition shows that the impact of private finance on farmers′ income is greater than that of farmers′ income on itselfꎬ and the impact of private finance on itself is greater than that of farmers′ income on it. Based on the above conclusionsꎬ the paper puts for ̄ ward some policy suggestionsꎬ such as regularizing rural financial systemꎬ classified management of private financeꎬ and improving the efficiency of rural economy.
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